As a kid, probably in 1971, we lived next to a golf course in Ogden, Utah. It had 18 holes, a driving range, but my favorite part was the mini golf course.
In the fall and winter, we played football with the kids down the street, but when the big kids were done, my friends and I would take our Hot Wheels toy cars and drive them around the minigolf roads. It was so fun.
It was time to go back as it was getting dark, and my friend Dale Webber and I walked the half mile back across the frozen grass with some light snow. Near the end of the course was the frozen pond. We had walked across it many times before. Not this time. I broke through. It was shallow, but I was very, very cold. Breaking point one, that winter.
A few weeks later, my father, mom, and my two brothers went to Snow Basin. A ski resort, but basically a few ski lifts, and a ski rental place with a restaurant above.
I was just learning, so I was put on the bunny slopes with a pull rope. When we were done, we headed back, but on approaching the ski rental and restaurant the snow slid off the roof and hit my dad. Not good. Breaking point two, that winter.
Systems break. That's what they do when you overload them.
Your old car runs fine for months. Then the transmission dies on the highway. That moment when everything shifts from working to not working? That's where we are with Long COVID.
The Damage Keeps Stacking
Six years in, millions and millions have died. But here's the part that should terrify you: the people who didn't die but can't live either.
The WHO puts Long COVID at about 6% of all infections. In America, that's 17 million adults walking around with bodies that don't work anymore. Every reinfection rolls the dice again. Your odds are worse the second time, and the third. Your body keeps score either way.
It's like getting into multiple car accidents. Each one might be small. The damage adds up.
Your Body Under Siege
Long COVID isn't fatigue. It's not brain fog. It's your systems failing in specific, measurable ways.
Your blood vessels are getting destroyed. COVID attacks the lining of your circulatory system. It causes inflammation and clotting that can last years. Think of your blood vessels as the plumbing in your house. When the pipes get damaged, everything downstream fails.
Your brain is taking physical hits. Brain scans from before and after infection show actual structural changes. Memory problems. Attention problems. Thinking problems. In a world where most jobs require you to focus and remember things, even small cognitive damage becomes huge when it hits millions of people.
Your immune system turns on itself. Long COVID patients have immune systems that attack their own bodies while failing to fight new threats. It's like having a security system that shoots the homeowners while letting burglars walk through the front door.
How Everything Falls Apart
You've seen a business close down. It doesn't happen overnight. First, they can't keep good employees. Then customer service gets worse. Then they can't pay bills. Each problem makes the next one worse until suddenly, crash.
That's happening to our institutions right now.
Doctor's offices can't handle complex Long COVID patients in 10-minute appointments. Hospitals deal with sicker patients while having fewer healthy staff. Schools can't find substitute teachers when regular staff keep getting sick. Insurance companies struggle to handle disability claims from previously healthy workers.
Each breakdown makes the next one more likely. When your doctor is backed up for months, you end up in the ER. When the ER is packed, hospital patients can't get beds. When hospitals are overwhelmed, people don't get care and get sicker. When workers keep getting sick, businesses can't function.
One fender-bender shuts down the entire highway.
The Snow on The Roof
Tipping points are invisible until you're feeling with something falling.
A school district runs fine with 2% staff out sick. At 10% cycling through long-term illness, it's a completely different system. An insurance company handles normal health claims. Then young, healthy workers start filing for disability. A hospital that was stretched thin pre-pandemic now operates under crisis rules just to keep doors open.
This isn't temporary stress. These are permanent changes to how these systems work.
What's Coming
The scary part isn't the speed of collapse. It's the moment when everyone admits what's been happening all along.
Right now, we pretend doctor shortages, teacher shortages, and overwhelmed hospitals are separate problems that just happened to occur at the same time. We act like millions of people with Long COVID are individual cases with no broader impact.
Systems don't break with dramatic crashes. They fail gradually, then suddenly. A thousand small seams splitting until the whole thing comes apart.
There's Still Time
Tipping points work both ways. The same forces that push systems toward collapse can push them toward solutions. But only if we stop pretending everything is fine.
We could invest in research to understand and treat Long COVID. We could improve indoor air quality to prevent infections. We could redesign healthcare to handle complex chronic conditions. We could protect workers and students from repeated infections.
We could build systems prepared for the reality we're living in instead of the reality we wish we had.
But we need to choose now. Because once you go over a tipping point, there's no going back to the way things were.
The only question is: which side of the cliff do we want to land on?